What we are going to see here is a struggle over power between America's favorite choice of president - Gamal Mubarak - and the Egyptian military's choice. Be it Omar Suleiman or even Chief of Staff Samy Anan - the Egyptian military's choice has one and only one condition - The president being a military man.
To be more exact - ie: cut the bullshit - there's nothing we civilians can do. This country is run by a mob and Hosny Mubarak is at it's top. When he dies the mob will scatter with every member wanting to jump on the vacuum created by his death.
Then we will see the ruling mercantilist 'business' elites backing Gamal with their money, and the the Egyptian armed forced backing their man with their tanks... We'll be completely left out. The people are originally what all this is supposed to be about. But unfortunately it's not. It's about what's best for Israel. Mel Akher.
There will be no place in this fight for us. And there will be damage. Lot's and lot's of damage. Much will be destroyed and there will be a long silent moment of truth. But unfortunately and I say this with tears, then and only then will Egyptians wake up. Only then will we be able to truly build.
But now it's all effort in the toilet.
I have never been disappointed in a politician like I am in Barack Obama. And that is not because he's a bad man - but he raised our hopes too high for our own good. Why would you do that to the entire world?? We understand you have to woo Americans so you can win the elections - but why promise of World Peace and respect for Human Rights if you'll back down?
Wikileaks is the biggest international event splitting history into 'before' & 'after' since September 11th. (Julien Assange is the hero de jour)
Anyways - This brings me to my next point. The elections. We did not have real elections - like we never do - no surprise there. The Muslim Brothers didn't get one parliamentary seat - again we all knew that would happen - Al Gama3a wasn't aired in Ramadan for no reason you know! But what worries me like hell, ladies & gentlemen is that there's no opposition in parliament. It is unconstitutional, illegitimate, and tailored to tightly fit no other than Gamal Mubarak.
The opposition, the Wafd, Muslim Brotherhood, and all those little fragmented groups including the Baradei Club - is just as scared of Mubarak dying as the NDP and the military. And they are too chicken to take responsibility for anything because they don't wanna be blamed if this country goes to hell. So they will keep barking from the top of a secluded tower and will do nothing more. I hope they do - but I know they won't.
As for the future I guess the presidential elections will be worse than the parliamentary ones. Hosny Mubarak will win, but he won't resign because of health issues and old age and help Gamal to the chair like was predicted because the military won't let him. Hosny Mubarak will die in office.
And until that happens we are in a state of political constipation. Nothing we say or do will change the direction with which we are heading towards. With a momentum of more than 50 years and 80 million people, it's too late to turn the wheel now. What we can do is hold on tight until we crash. Afterwards we can fix all the damage, but until then, the forces around us make us paralyzed.
I know I haven't been blogging much, but I don't want to anymore. I am not spending any of my precious time and effort so I can end up where I started. I will resume blogging when this cycle is broken once and for all. I am completely abstaining from writing until the day the Sun dawns again on Egypt, until the day Hosny Mubarak meets his creator. And who knows when that is? He outlived many.
See you then!